Election Coverage / Government Watch / Politics

A Democratic Waterloo in the Suburbs: How the Results of Texas’ 6th Congressional District May Portend Doom for Suburban Dems in 2022

AMAC Exclusive By Daniel Roman

TexasWritten By: Daniel Roman

On Saturday, voters went to the polls in Texas’ 6th Congressional district to elect a replacement for Republican Congressman Ron Wright, who died in February. In a contest in which all candidates appeared on the ballot regardless of party, with the top two proceedings to a runoff on May 24th, two Republicans advanced. They were Susan Wright, the widow of the late congressman, who had received the endorsement of former President Donald Trump, and Jake Elizey, a conservative state representative. The victory of either on May 24th will be a win for conservatives and for Trump, while Saturday’s results represent a defeat for both the Democratic party, which will not even have a candidate in the runoff, and anti-Trump Republicans, whose much-heralded candidate Michael Wood received a mere 3% despite glowing profiles in the national press.

The results portend far more than the mere question of who will fill a single House seat. They provide a challenge to Democratic visions of turning Texas Blue and a sign that Joe Biden’s election has served to demoralize rather than motivate left-leaning voters. Democrats have been quick to scoff at the idea that they needed to win this seat in order to hold the US House, noting that it would be vulnerable in redistricting anyway, for instance.

That is perhaps true, but it misses the point that Democrats need to contest seats like the 6th Congressional district if they want to have any hope of competing statewide in Texas. And much as with what happened in the heavily Hispanic border counties of South Texas back in November, the evidence indicates that Democrats are moving backward rather than forward. However, this time, they are not moving backward in the sort of high-minority, non-urban area that is shifting rightward around the world, but in a high-income, high-education suburb, which in theory should be shifting their way.

The Democrats’ post-2018 House majority is built on districts like the Texas 6th, entirely so after the party lost many of its remaining rural seats in 2020. The Texas 6th District, located in the Dallas/Fort Worth suburbs, is 88.7% urban and only 52% non-Hispanic white. Its median income, at $71,161, is well above the national average, which during the Trump Administration was an indicator of Democratic support, something Joe Biden should perhaps keep in mind when promoting the largest tax increases in decades.

Once safely Republican (the district voted 66%-34% for George Bush in 2004, 57%-42% for John McCain in 2008, and 58%-41% for Mitt Romney in 2012), it begins to shift dramatically in recent years, voting for Donald Trump by 54%-42% in 2016 and by a mere 3%, 51%-48% in 2020. Thus, in this special election, Democrats had no candidate make the runoff in a district where Joe Biden received 48% of the vote in 2020. It was not only Biden who made gains. Democratic candidates for congress in the district won 39% in 2016, 46% in 2018, and 44% in 2020. This Saturday, every Democratic candidate combined earned a mere 37%.

Meanwhile, the combined Republican vote was 62%. Compared to the Presidential race, that is an 11% increase for Republicans since November and an 11% drop for Democrats. Yet, even compared to past congressional results, the Democratic total has been the worst since 2014 when an underfunded Democrat received 36.4% in the district. If Democrats are performing at 2014 levels in 2021, when Joe Biden should still be on his honeymoon, it portends horribly for their prospects in 2022. Nationally, Democrats lost 8 Senate seats that year.

More worrying still for Democrats, this is the sort of seat where the media insists the Republican party has been most damaged by both the Trump presidency and its aftermath, among other things, as a result of Republicans’ opposition to COVID restrictions, a lack of support for “Green” policies, and their social conservatism. So goes the narrative, at least. Moreover, the district is wealthy, multiracial, and suburban, exactly what the media would term “Biden” Country. Except, the evidence is that at least 25% of November 2020 Biden voters are no longer buying in. Perhaps because the Biden Administration has embraced left-wing policies that are deeply alienating to exactly this sort of voter.

Equally embarrassing for the media, though much less significant politically, is the total failure of the campaign by retired Marine colonel Michael Wood, a self-described anti-Trump Republican who was running to “save” the Republican party from itself. Wood received extensive attention in the national media, including interviews with Politico and CBS News and a profile in Texas Monthly. Wood proclaimed that the race was “the first battle for the soul of the Republican party.” If there was ever a seat where an anti-Trump Republican should have been viable, it would have been this one. After all, Mitt Romney of all people won 58%, while President Trump won a mere 51% in 2020.

Furthermore, absent party primaries, Wood had the potential to appeal to Biden voters disaffected with what Biden had done since taking office. In the end, Wood appealed to neither. He won a mere 3.3% of the vote, despite receiving the second most media coverage of any candidate. Of the 11% of voters who cast ballots for Biden in November and then supported a Republican on Saturday, more than 70% preferred a Donald Trump-endorsed option.

Wood’s defeat should rightfully put an end to the belief that a large constituency exists for anti-Republican Republican candidates outside the Beltway.

Democrats, however, have much more to lose than anti-Trump Republicans, who never won elections in the first place. Wood’s failure shows that not only have high-income Biden voters deserted the Democrats but that they are willing to desert them for Pro-Trump Republicans. As the Democratic strategy for 2022 appears not to appeal to voters on their own merits but rather to count on voters finding Republicans worse, these results should be very concerning for them. If it does not work in a seat where a 17% Romney win turned into a 3% Trump win in 2020, where will it work? In seats where 3% Obama wins turned into 15%, Trump wins in the Midwest? On the Mexican Border, where Trump held Democrats to their lowest margins in generations? In South Florida, where Trump racked up margins that helped him win the state by 3.4%?

Democrats worried about the realignment of working-class voters in 2016 consoled themselves with the belief that minority voters would keep trending their way. When those voters revolted in 2020, Democrats felt content that at least the suburbs turned on Trump. Now the suburbs have begun to revolt against the Democratic party as well, and it is hard to see where they have left to go to make up the difference.

We hope you've enjoyed this article. While you're here, we have a small favor to ask...

As we prepare for what promises to be a pivotal year for America, we're asking you to consider a gift to help fund our journalism and advocacy.

The need for fact-based reporting that offers real solutions and stops the spread of misinformation has never been greater. Now more than ever, journalism and our first amendment rights are under fire. That's why AMAC is passionately working to increase the number of real news articles we deliver WEEKLY, while continuing to strengthen our presence on Capitol Hill.

AMAC Action, a 501 (C)(4), advocates to protect American values, free speech, the exercise of religion, equality of opportunity, sanctity of life, the rule of law, and love of family.

Thank you for putting your faith in AMAC!

Donate Now

If You Enjoy Articles Like This - Subscribe to the AMAC Daily Newsletter
and Download the AMAC News App

Sign Up Today Download

If You Enjoy Articles Like This - Subscribe to the AMAC Daily Newsletter!

Sign Up Today
Read more articles by AMAC Newsline
Subscribe
Notify of
78 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Hal
6 months ago

It will be almost as rare as a snowstorm at the equator to get an honest election in the border counties of Texas in the area of Laredo … it has been under DemonRat control for many decades as far back as the Great Depression Era. For many years in the first half of the 1900’s, only the Democrats had elections to select who would run in the General elections (the GOP didn’t even have Party elections then) … and the DemonRats cheated and rigged voter counts in that era, and the losers never put up a meaningful squawk … because that was the way it was done as a standard normal procedure for DemonRats. At times they were better at it getting result than even the Chicago DemonRate machines and the NJ machines, and the NY machines. It should be the focus or all citizens who want to keep our Constitutional Democray to put a stop to the rigged election like the last POTUS election.

jocko
6 months ago

VERY DIFICULT TO BELEIVE WITH THE CANCEROUS, ANTI-AMERICAN, LYING, LAW BREAKING libs CHEATING ON ALL OF THE ELECTIONS…….

Hal
6 months ago
Reply to  jocko

difficult but true!!!

david nance
6 months ago

The dems are going to get killed in the midterms .They have screwed things up so badly that people that are not partisan are going to vote them out.

Hal
6 months ago
Reply to  david nance

They can’t vote them out if the DemonRats are still allowed to do the tricks they did to rig the last POTUS election. The election system needs to be fixed … big time. No mail handled ballots in any phase of an election can insure/guarantee honest and true voting results.

Enuf Said
6 months ago

I was astounded when the article mentioned “embarrassing” for the media! Are you insane–the media CAN’T be embarrassed because they possess no integrity, decency, moral values, or one ounce of love for God or country. Why this type thing keeps getting addressed and criticizing the media is beyond me. It is the same old song, just sung by different media (so-Called) with a different singer.

Jan
6 months ago

Anti-Republican Republicans? Typo?

Old Silk
6 months ago
Reply to  Jan

Some call them Republicans In Name Only, others call them the Uniparty as one with Democrats. Either way they are anti-Republican “Republicans”.

Hal
6 months ago
Reply to  Jan

And some call them RINO’s … Republican In Name Only!

John fallon
6 months ago

Remove ALL CARREER Politicians, they have all been too long in the SWAMP, THEY WANT TO RETURN TO THE WAY THINGS WERE BEFORE PRESIDENT TRUMP SHOWED THE WORLD THE TRUTH!!! THEY ONLY CARE ABOUT POWER AND BAGS OF DIRTY MONEY, START ELECTING PEOPLE THAT HAVE BEEN SCREWED BY THE CORRUPT SYSTEM AND LET THEM TEAR THE SYSTEM APART!!!
We can do it from the inside out, just like the socialists, only we can turn things around and MAKES THINGS RIGHT!!! MAGA. AGAIN!!!

Ralph S Mills
6 months ago

DemoRATs have nothing to worry about! The SWAMP Dwellers have all the protection they need to win the next election(s)… its called GERRYMANDERING!

Barb
6 months ago

I’m hoping the midterm elections will bring about positive changes in Congress. It seems to me that the current members, for the most part, couldn’t care less about America or its citizens and that is simply unacceptable. We need to send them a reminder that they work for us!

HocasPocas
6 months ago

Looks like the citizens are seeking to save their country after all

jocko
6 months ago
Reply to  HocasPocas

VEERY DOUBTFUL WITH THE CANCEROUS, ANTI-AMERICAN, LYING, LAW BREAKING libs CHEATING ON ALL OF THE ELECTIONS

Becky
6 months ago

The problem with the old democrat party is that it died in 1960..And democrats refuse to understand why..
America is NOT Communist.
America will never be Communist..
Even in the 60s when these marxist thugs were bombing buildings and rioting everywhere, spitting on our soldiers, and other disgusting pig-human behaviors, Americans made it clear we were NOT on their side.
Yet they persist. DemonRats are braindead commies. And we DETEST them.

Rosalee Cavanaugh
6 months ago

Who are we kidding? The elections are compromised. There will be no Republican winners unless we have honest elections.

Xtech
6 months ago

NOTHING will change if there isn’t a solution to the voting FRAUD that Commicrats used to STEAL the 2020 Trump victory. This is the greatest threat to our Republic, followed closely by the CORRUPT, leftist billionaire owned, State media!

HocasPocas
6 months ago
Reply to  Xtech

What goes up must come down. The msm better open their eyes to the wrong that they’ve been doing to the citizens of this country.

Old Silk
6 months ago
Reply to  Xtech

The steal could have been and should have been stopped in real time rather than the military being ordered to just watch. Then the evidence and prosecutions could have taken place. It’s a danged shame really. In 2016 there was no space force. In 2020 the steal was satellite driven, even across a number of countries and the invasion was not repelled and the steal was not stopped.

Mamabear
6 months ago

I am praying that our beautiful country’s citizens are finally waking up. The communist demo in office
now has done a good job at letting them know what demos are really all about. Biden has shown his true self, they played with the election and look what they got? A true awakening of American’s.

HocasPocas
6 months ago
Reply to  Mamabear

Our Almighty God will always take care of his flock. Satan and his evil is no match for our Lord and Savior

Charlotte A Mahin
6 months ago

While I certainly hope the GOP wins big in 2022, it will NOT happen unless our representatives in DC push hard to make sure our election is FAIR! The enemy will be working harder than ever to make sure we lose again and they have many billionaires from inside and outside the U.S. working to make sure they are never defeated again. They should have been more aware of how the Democrats were working in the individual states to change their voting rules in 2020. With a totally corrupt DOJ, FBI and big tech censorship, we can leave no stone unturned in our quest!

Mark L
6 months ago

Amen to your statement!

Becky
6 months ago

I have warned people for decades that most of pur politicians are too stupid to be in office.
If people don’t start voting smarter, and keeping foreigners out of here, America is dead.

HocasPocas
6 months ago
Reply to  Becky

You mean like Obama, ocasio whatever her name is, Ilmar whatever her name is. If it sounds muslin it probably is

Judi
6 months ago
Reply to  HocasPocas

Don’t forget Keith Ellison, another Muslin. HE wants any law enforcement accused of crimes (usually fake, by the way) to be tried in an INTERNATIONAL COURT instead of our own American court! We should deport Keith Ellison, Omar, Tlaib, Ocrazyo and all the rest of the treasonous traitors out of OUR country!

Judi
6 months ago
Reply to  Judi

*Muslim*

HocasPocas
6 months ago

The states are using the Constitution that our Forefathers painstakingly formulated based on Christian values and the good book that everyone should read. All the guidance needed in life is in the Holy Bible

Judy
6 months ago

This article would have been much better if the writer had just left his thoughts on the stats of how the C.S.M. Party is doing in that 6th district compared to ‘Trump’ Republicans. Offering them any kind of pointers on how they could or should do better to hold House seats is of no interest to me whatsoever. I think most Conservatives feel the same. At this crucial point in time, those who are standing on the side of Progressivism and supporting this illegal administration are absolutely the enemy of the United States. They are all traitors! Our judicial system has become compromised due to systemic societal interference from Leftist biased activism. Three of such are seated on our Supreme Court. If something isn’t done about Justice John Robert’s and Justice Sotomayor little will change.
With one flicker of light in the dark, we can only hope it’s at least a start for that light to shine brighter across this country as others take notice.

Becky
6 months ago
Reply to  Judy

Hear, hear! Excellent.

HocasPocas
6 months ago
Reply to  Judy

We all need to shine our light, from the rooftop

Art A
6 months ago

TOO MUCH OPTIMISM.

Mark L
6 months ago
Reply to  Art A

NOT TRUE! Optimism is there because of how much corruption was unearthed within the Deep State! The virus is also under control and that was President Trumps doing not Joe Biden, as JB claims. I agree with a prior post that MANY PEOPLE now agree DemocRATS won only because they cheated!

JohnH
6 months ago

Texas is getting hit with two big issues of Biden Admin: 1)Southern Border control 2) New Green Deal that will impact the oil/Natural Gas industries. And these are industries that produce a product for this nation that is not paid for by our govt. dollars.

JohnH
6 months ago

Explain comment “Democrats who never won elections in the first place” in the next to last paragraph. Are you saying no democrat has won elections in Texas? Back this up with facts , or this statement is just another way to create Blue/Red state divisions. Explain this or leave as an one-sided article.

Beverly
6 months ago
Reply to  JohnH

I believe the writer is saying anti-Trump Republicans never won: “anti-Trump Republicans, who never won elections in the first place.”

Linda
6 months ago
Reply to  Beverly

That is the meaning

HocasPocas
6 months ago
Reply to  JohnH

JohnH, does the H stand for harris

Garye
6 months ago

Finally a slice of good news!!
This is exactly what needs to occur Nationwide to save America!!

Karen
6 months ago
Reply to  Garye

Could if mean something underhanded was involved? They is so much corruption these days…who knows. I think it is time to oust the politicians and start with some new blood…..especially oust those who have been there too long and done nothing; like biden and piglosi….all either of them do is tear down America.

Garye
6 months ago
Reply to  Karen

Hey Karen,
the democrats live on underhanded tactics.
Their motto, ” there’s never too much dishonesty and corruption” !
50 plus years for the anri American, anti freedom failure democrats!

Mark L
6 months ago
Reply to  Garye

????✊

HocasPocas
6 months ago
Reply to  Garye

You won’t hear about this on cnn, cbs, nbc or other msm

Garye
6 months ago
Reply to  HocasPocas

Right You are, not a word!

Ed J
6 months ago

Let’s review how the Demsheviks prevailed in the 2020 elections.
 
First, there was Hiden Biden who was secluded in his basement for much of the election cycle so the nation would not become aware of his cognitive impairment and other shortcomings. This left much of the electorate in a vacuum regarding what he was really all about.
 
Second, there was the lamestream media who hyped propaganda, generated Fake News, disseminated lies, and distorted just about everything President Trump said and did. This left the electorate in a vacuum regarding the truth.
 
Third, add to this the irregularities in the election process itself as liberal governors, liberal partisan state courts and liberal unelected bureaucrats “changed” the rules for voting during the election, not to mention the irregularities during the voting process itself and the partisan counting of votes after the polls closed.
 
The net effect of this coordinated blitz was that the Demsheviks effectively ambushed the nation, highjacked the election and were able to sway gullible and often uninformed voters to vote for Democratic candidates. These well-intentioned but misguided voters were essentially unaware that what they were voting for was fundamentally against their own best interests and the best interests of our nation as a whole.
 
Many of these Biden voters are now going “OOPS!” and realizing their mistake in voting for a Democratic ticket. As Biden continues to lay out his extreme and costly radical socialist agenda, people are coming to realize that their lifestyle, standard of living, financial well-being, Constitutional freedoms, and chance to achieve the American Dream will be seriously and severely impaired if the Demsheviks impose their radical agenda upon all Americans and our nation.
 
This article shows there is a ray of light at the end of the tunnel. Let’s hope that Republicans recapture both the House and Senate in 2022 and hopefully return President Trump to the White House in 2024. It’s time to make the “Joe and the Ho Brain Fart Show” disappear into the footnotes of history.

Karen
6 months ago
Reply to  Ed J

They did not win, they cheated and lied. Everyone knows that!

The Rebel
6 months ago
Reply to  Karen

Only those individuals who are two quarts low on brain gear oil have not figured out the 2020 election was truly an ERECTION and the American taxpayers got a real screwin’ !

Ed J
6 months ago
Reply to  The Rebel

Wow! Truly enjoyed the eloquence of the prose in your response! Thank you!

Garye
6 months ago
Reply to  Ed J

Ed J,
Same anti American Democrat party tactics,
What’s that they say about history repeating itself.
That exactly socialist and communist doctrine is today’s democrat party!

78
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x