Politics

Nearly 1,000 People Move From Blue States to Red States Every Day. Here’s Why.

red-vs-blue-statesfrom – The Daily Signal – by Stephen Moore

The so-called “progressives” love to talk about how their policies will create a worker’s paradise, but then why is it that day after day, month after month, year after year, people are fleeing liberal blue states for conservative red states?

The new Census data on where we live and where we moved to in 2014 shows that the top seven states with the biggest percentage increase in in-migration from other states are in order: North Dakota, Nevada, South Carolina, Colorado, Florida, Arizona, and Texas. All of these states are red, except Colorado, which is purple.

Meanwhile, the leading exodus states of the continental states in percentage terms were Alaska, New York, Illinois, Connecticut, New Mexico, New Jersey, and Kansas. All of these states are blue, except Alaska and Kansas.

The latest Rich States, Poor States document (which I co-author), published by ALEC, the state legislative organization, finds that nearly 1,000 people each day on net are leaving blue states and entering red states. This migration is changing the economic center of gravity in America—moving it relentlessly to the South and West.

Travis Brown, the author of the indispensable book “How Money Walks,” shows that two of the leading factors behind this movement of human capital are 1) whether a state has a right to work law (half of the states do) and 2) how high the top income tax rate is in the state. Nine states have no income tax today, and they are creating twice the pace of jobs as are high-income tax states.

Data from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) show a similar trend. Each year the IRS issues a migration data report that examines how many tax filers (and dependents) in the year changed their residency and how much income was transported from one state to another. The numbers for the most recent year (tax filing year 2013) are gigantic and put the lie to the claim that interstate migration is too small to matter in terms of the wealth and economic opportunity in one state versus another.

In 2013, Florida gained $8.2 billion in adjusted gross income from out-of-staters. Texas gained $5.9 billion—in one year. Five of the seven states with the biggest gains in income have no income tax at all: Florida, Texas, Arizona, Washington, and Nevada. New York was again the big loser, with another 112,236 tax filers leaving and taking $5.2 billion with them. (So much for those TV ads trying to lure businesses into America’s 2nd highest taxed state with temporary tax breaks.) Illinois lost nearly 67,000 tax filers and $3.7 billion of income it can no longer tax.

I’ve never met a Democrat who could come up with even a semi-plausible explanation for why families and businesses are hightailing it out of blue states. They are leaving states with high minimum wages, pro-union work rules, high taxes on the rich, generous welfare benefits, expansive regulations to “help” workers, green energy policies, etc. People are voting with their feet against these liberal policies.

When I debated Paul Krugman this summer, I confronted him with this reality. His lame explanation for the steady migration from liberal North to conservative South was that “air conditioning” has made the South more livable. Americans are evidently moving because of the weather.

There are two glaring problems with this theory: California and North Dakota. In the last decade ending in 2013, 1.4 million more Americans left California than moved into the once-Golden State. It’s a good bet these California refugees didn’t leave for more sunshine or better weather.

And if warm weather is what is attracting people to the South—and surely there is some truth to that—why did the coldest state outside Alaska, North Dakota, have the biggest population gain in percentage terms in the most recent year? The answer is that workers went to get jobs created by the Bakken Shale oil and gas boom. By the way, California is one of the oil- and gas-richest states in the nation, but its “green” politicians are regulating that industry out of businesses. So much for caring about working-class Americans.

The latest Census and IRS data merely confirm what Americans can see every day with their own two eyes. Red states are a magnet. There’s a downside to this for sure. Conservatives have a legitimate gripe that as blue-staters come into their prosperous red states, they try to turn them blue. That’s happened in New Hampshire, where Massachusetts transplants vote for the left-wing policies they just fled.

But the underlying trend is unmistakable: Liberal blue states are economic dinosaurs. Will they change their ways before they go the way of Detroit and become extinct?

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DWayne
5 years ago

By the very definition of the word conservative, you will find the answer to a successful future. By the same token, a conservative court of law will offer the best law and order as opposed to a liberal, anything goes form or government bordering upon anarchy.

Cynthia
5 years ago

It’s really quite simple economics-wise. If people would just think.
How does your family prosper, by being frivolous with your money, or by being conservative?
Quite simply, the only way to prosper is through conservatism. That’s just good, plain, common sense.

Bjw
5 years ago

Don’t forget Michigan, in 2010 Michigan was the only state in the country to lose population, the only reason they ha leveled off is because of mass arab and Asian immigration.

g and g
5 years ago
Reply to  Bjw

We thought that we would retire back to New England. Never happened! Once we motor homed to Grand Haven (western side of the state) we decided to live here. Our jobs were near Augusta, GA and we lived there for 7 years. More northerner’s may be moving south, but I can assure you that most southerner’s don’t want them there. We were call dam yankees then dam dam yankee when folks found out we were planning on retiring there. Just my thoughts!

DWayne
5 years ago
Reply to  g and g

They were afraid you would bring your form of “yankee” liberal politics with you is my guess because for the most part, Southerners are very friendly and welcoming.

PaulO
5 years ago

I can see everybody flocking to those low minimum wage Red states to raise their families.

Red states like Alabama and Louisiana don’t even have a minimum wage.

They’re not as generous as the red states Georgia and Wyoming who have a whopping $5.15 minimum wage.

Rik
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

Hey Commie, maybe it’s because your $15 minimum wage is forcing businesses to eliminate jobs. The business owner takes all the risk in trying to make a profit and you think that the average Joe really cares about or appreciates just having a job? If people want a higher paying job, they should have excelled more in the classroom instead of doing less and expecting to be rewarded more for doing so.

PaulO
5 years ago
Reply to  Rik

WOW “excelled more in the classroom”, like you?
We know you’re a whiz kid. At least that’s what you tell us in your posts.
How about sharing your Curriculum Vitae with us. Make me jealous.

Mark Plenn
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

Shut your pie hole PaulO!

R G Gripes
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

Curriculum Vitae.Sounds to me like you’re educated beyond your intelligence.Judging from your political view point I’m surprised you even spelled it correctly.I used to think that people with your socialist ideology couldn’t read and understand the Constitution, now I know the liberal progressives, socialist and communists, can’t read English period.
God bless the Republic.

DWayne
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

From reading your response about CEOs making so much more than the rank and file, I surmise that you are already eaten up with jealousy.

leon
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

PaulO understand points and agree that some companies play the system for additional profit and some to just stay in business against companies in other countries who don’t have to follow all the regulations they do. How about convincing the american people not to buy from the company with the lower price and pay more for the products they want. This way the companies can up the minimum pay and still stay in business. I also agree that CEO’s get paid to much and it is unfair. Something should be done about that. But maybe you feel the same way about actors and musicians who get millions for a few months of work or how about pro athletes. SHould anyone get 10 million a year for playing a game? They make more then CEO. Lets give the equipment guy more.
If people would be more balanced in their views it would make for a better discussion.

thanks

Ruel D
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

And yet, we here in Louisiana still have a vibrant economy, with the unemployment rate falling everywhere but New Orleans, that Blue city in a very Red state. Our people work hard, get fairly compensated for that work and are, by and large quite happy. One of the main reasons for that happiness is that our state government pretty much keeps its nose out of our business.

PaulO
5 years ago
Reply to  Ruel D

The home of Bobby Jindal and David Vitter!

The governor who went on national TV to explain why we needed more deregulation and less government after the BP oil spill.

My prayers are with the good people of Louisiana.

Ruel D
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

Yes, our Governor went on national TV to try to get the present administration to leave the oil industry alone. He failed and Mr. Obama, following his “green” agenda, cost this state thousands of jobs. But like all good, conservative states, we will recover. And, by the way, what did all the regulations and alphabet agencies that were in place in 2010 do to stop the oil spill in the first place? We certainly didn’t get our money’s worth out of any of them now, did we?

Mark Plenn
5 years ago
Reply to  Ruel D

Ruel; Thanks for putting Paulo in his place.

Ruel D
5 years ago
Reply to  Mark Plenn

Mark,
Always a pleasure. Its usually at this point that we hear no more from PaulO.

PaulO
5 years ago
Reply to  Ruel D

Have a good morning. I’m outta here for the day.

Ruel D
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

What’s the matter? A little too hot for you?

R G Gripes
5 years ago
Reply to  Ruel D

Well said Sir to your replies to Paul O.The government regulations overseeing the oil spills are just like the idiotic and unconstitutional gun control laws.Lot of regulations but no prevention.The politicians want people to think they’re doing something about a problem but they only compound it and cost taxpayers millions doing it. But hey, as long as it makes the ignorant masses feel good about it that’s all that matters.Never mind nothing is ever done to actually fix the problem.People obviously don’t understand the fact that laws are for prosecution not prevention.Murder is against the law but when is the last time that stopped someone from killing.Way stand up to Paul O with the facts Ruel D you are a man of priciples and 100% correct.Principles, something the liberals and socialist aren’t familiar with unless they engage themselves in conversation with a Constitutional conservative.But that doesn’t happen very often, they don’t like being proved wrong.Paul O should be on a Clinton or Obama blog He’s out of His league on here.Paul O should save His prayers for Himself with His liberal mindset as with all liberal socialists, it will take Devine intervention to cure Him from His cursed affliction. It’s obvious the O in Paul O stands for Obama minion.Or it could be Obnoxious Ogre.Either way a liberal socialist by any other name is still a liberal socialist.God bless the Republic.

Ruel D
5 years ago
Reply to  R G Gripes

R G
You did pretty well yourself, there.

R G Gripes
5 years ago
Reply to  Ruel D

Well thank you thank you very much.

MeToo
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

$15 minimum wage for entry level, no skill jobs mean nothing if you can’t find a job, or that job has been replaced by automation, which doesn’t demand $15 an hour. Liberals are heading full speed ahead to ensuring that entry level jobs for teens, seniors and unskilled labor become extinct. It is the Obama regime that has destroyed full time employment and replaced it with part-time, unskilled, minimum wage jobs. They think this is progress.

PaulO
5 years ago
Reply to  MeToo

Baloney, full time employment with benefits was destroyed 20 years ago when employers started using temp services to hire temporary workers for permanent jobs within their company. Long before Obama and the ACA.

After working 6 months, they’ll cut the temporary him or her loose and bring in another temporary worker.
They use people like a loaf of bread. Why?
So they don’t have to pay workers comp insurance, retirement benefits and healthcare.
It’s all about Greed.

HAM
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

Actually PaulO the company I worked for used temporary help to weed out the lazy ones. If a job came open the better temps were offered the job if they were qualified. I personally witnessed this many times.

PaulO
5 years ago
Reply to  HAM

Some employers do play fair and eventually hire a temp fulltime. But most just take advantage of using temps to save costs to a company’s bottom line.

The point is Temp services have been around for the last 20 years. It just didn’t start with Obama and the ACA.

You know HAM or grania whatever it is, you hold a place close in my heart as the first poster on these threads to call me an “Obama commie”. It sounds like you’ve decided in order to have an adult conversation with someone you can’t act like an 8th grade bully and call people names.

R G Gripes
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

Well Paul O if you feel so strongly convicted it about why don’t you go ahead and take a gamble with everything you own and start your own business.If you don’t have 50000 or 100000 dollars just to get started that means you go in debt, pay for permits just so the government will allow you to run it every year, work 15 to 20 hours a day 6 or 7 days a week so you can pay outrageous federal taxes, pay taxes to local government, not knowing day to day you can get enough work to just to keep your business afloat. Then YOU go out and hire some minimum wage workers and pay them 15 dollars ,oh what the heck, let’s pay them 20 dollars an hour.On second thought why don’t you just pay them a 100 dollars an hour that way they won’t have to work so many hours a week.Paul O put your money where your mouth is.That’s right I forgot, liberals don’t spend their own money.Funny you should mention baloney that’s exactly what we all will be eating if the progressive,liberal,socialist ideology gets any more embedded in this country.Except for the ones in power that put these Constitution killing laws in place. While we the people are starving the powers that be will be eating the best food and living like kings, just like all the dictating tyrants now and in the past have always done.But please,by all means, keep voting your Demonrants in office if that is where you want this country to end up.I can’t say much good for the lying Repulsivecants either.They have all the power and purse strings to stop this and don’t so they are as much to blame as the other crummy political party.God bless the Republic.

PaulO
5 years ago
Reply to  R G Gripes

I give you credit RG for being honest in admitting the wages and benefits paid out by small business owners put them into the position of having to hire through the Temp Services.

However not all businesses who use the Temp services are “small”. Many of them have CEO’s who are paid 7 and 8 figure incomes annually and approved by a board of directors on behalf of the shareholders.

Look at the Walton family, the richest family in the world, $144.7 billion, who pay barely minimum wage to most of their employees. Forcing most of these employees to seek assistance from the federal and state welfare system for healthcare benefits, food stamps.

RG, You and other taxpayers subsidizes and helps to feed and provide medical care to Walmart’s workers.

That’s not right!

Ruel D
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

PaulO,
According to the Dept of Labor, the present federal minimum wage is $7.25/hour. According to PayScale, a web site designed to get people job information, Wal Mart pays a minimum salary of $7.69/hour. Now it seems like those nasty, old rich people at Wal Mart are paying better than the benevolent US government that you would like to see regulate every aspect of our lives.
That’s not right!

R G Gripes
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

I say that because I am a small business owner.I am a one man shop.Yeah the Waltons are one of the richest families in the world.What would all the employees that work there do if the Waltons, and all the other big corporations decided to say screw it we’re done we’re closing down and just quit.Where would they work?When is the last time any one got a job from a person that had no money to start with.Bad as the pay situation is, I have no problem with someone getting welfare or food stamps if they are working trying to do better.It is a struggle at all levels of income for middle class.What I do have an issue with is the people that aren’t or won’t try to do better and they won’t work when they are perfectly able to do so and just wait around for their taxpayer supported food stamps and welfare check.That’s not right!

LeoVG
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

It’s much more insidious than that. This has happened to me 3 times in the last 2 years. After the 6 month contract expires, the company will hire you on (for the tax credit) then lay you off before you can accrue unemployment credits. Then, you go back to the temp service & they get a tax credit for hiring you

Gina
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

Actually, it’s about keeping a business afloat. Jobs were never meant to be your retirement, health insurance for the whole famly, dental…saviors. People were supposed to be paid to do a job. I guess eventually employers will have to pay for employees’ childcare, college, what else?

R G Gripes
5 years ago
Reply to  MeToo

To a socialist progressive they do think that is progress.I say any person or politician at any level of the government wants to pay 15 or even 20 dollars an hour for minimum wage have it taken out of their pay and let them feel good about what they are doing for the minimum wage earner.Probably won’t hear any more mentioned if that was the case.Like the late great British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher said The trouble with Socialism is that eventually you run out of other people’s money.God bless the Republic.

R G Gripes
5 years ago
Reply to  PaulO

I don’t usually go low with comments but I’ll make an exception here.Why don’t you go flock yourself.

Rik
5 years ago

Just maybe, this movement of liberals is to just destroy the “Red State” from within. Which is how this country has gotten to this stage in the first place. I keep picturing Nikita Khrushchev pounding his shoe on the table at the UN and proclaiming “We (“Communism”) Will Bury You” and now seeing it all come true. It seems that 90% of Socialist/Communist Bernie Sanders followers are young people whose minds have been corrupted by their Communist teachers. Liberty and Justice for All is being replaced with Communist nonsense about a One World, Globalist Society. This battle needs to be fought at it’s roots, the hearts and minds of our youth! If Hillary, her Saul Alinsky Socialist/Communist teacher and follower gets elected “We the People” will be replaced by State ordered and run dictates. I fear, America is already lost this battle.

Ruel D
5 years ago
Reply to  Rik

Rik,
Before you get too discouraged, remember that for every Sanders follower there are ten youngsters on their way to becoming hard workers, cops, soldiers, firemen, or paramedics. Yes, it does seem like the education industry is trying to poison our children’s minds, for everyone’s own good of course, but they can’t alter life experiences, and as our children get older and move out into the big, old nasty world, life experiences teach them that their educators might have been a little off the mark.

John Thompson
5 years ago

What I find more amazing is once the blue state transplant they vote against what made the Red state attractive in the first place. Our education system does a poor job of teaching basic economics.

MeToo
5 years ago

I am a transplant from the People’s Republic of NY where my family lived for 4 generations, to a red state. I’ve observed that there are people here who come because it’s like re-entering America, where freedom and the Constitution still exists and the government doesn’t limit your food choices and regulate and tax everything under the sun.

But, there are those liberals who flock here for the low taxes and then vote for the same liberal fools who destroyed their former states. The locals are uneasy, because they want it to remain a red state, as I do. I don’t want a throwback to the communist regime I left, where thugs rule, Dinesh D’Souza’s movies aren’t shown, trick traffic cameras play gotcha and fine you $50 for going over the 25 mph speed limit, and the government gets involved in limiting my salt consumption, the size of my drink, and my grocery bag choices.

I haven’t paid a meter in over a year. I must have saved close to $300 from that alone. It doesn’t surprise me that the exodus out of blue states continues, but I wish the stupid liberals would learn from their negative experiences.

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