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Newsom on the Edge With Hispanics and Independents Deserting Him

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Newsom

With a Recall Election coming up on September 14, it appears Gavin Newsom is on the edge of defeat. What several months ago was a double digit lead in favor of Newsom has become a double digit shortfall, with the latest shock poll showing that 51% of Californians favor recalling the Governor, while only 40% want to keep him in place.

The poll, which was conducted by Survey USA and the San Diego Union Tribune on August 2-4 and surveyed 1,000 Californians, showed a marked shift in public opinion on Newsom from just a few months ago. In May, the same poll found that only 36% favored Newsom’s recall, while 47% opposed it.

The demographic breakdown of respondents paints an even more dire image for Newsom. 47% of Hispanics in the Survey USA poll said they support recalling Newsom, while only 41% say they would keep him. As California has the largest Hispanic population in the country, their lack of support for keeping him in office bodes ill for Newsom. 50% of self-described Independents also supported the recall, according to the poll. Even 23% of Democrats, including 13% of those who describe themselves as “Liberal” and a full 25% of those who describe themselves as “Very Liberal” said they would vote to recall the governor.

Other polls, like one conducted by UC Berkeley and the Los Angeles Times, found that most Californians oppose recalling Newsom. But those results may be misleading – when those same polls are weighed for the likelihood someone would vote, it was a dead heat—which makes the Survey USA/San Diego Union Tribune poll even more concerning for Newsom. The Real Clear Politics average of polls shows a 2-point gap in favor of recalling Newsom.

But who exactly would replace Newsom if in fact he was recalled? As of now, the Survey USA poll shows that Democrat YouTuber Kevin Paffrath would win the bid to replace Newsom, with 27% of respondents saying they would vote for him. Close behind him was conservative African American radio host Larry Elder, with support from 23% of respondents. Businessman John Cox, who has previously run for Governor, was the only other candidate with double-digit support at 10%.

Most polls, however, have shown that Larry Elder—a self-described Libertarian—is ahead. As AMAC Newsline previously detailed, Elder brings an impressive array of qualifications to the table, not the least of which is his demonstrated ability to communicate clearly and effectively to mass audiences. Should Elder secure the governorship, he would be the first non-Democrat governor since Arnold Schwarzenegger in 2011.

Given this recent polling data, it stands to reason Newsom—a well-established Democrat in one of the most heavily Democrat states in the country—could realistically be replaced on September 14. If that happens—or even if it’s close—the reasons why are obvious and plentiful.

During Newsom’s tenure as governor, California has seen one of the most corrupt and wasteful periods in the state’s history. In January, for example, the California Employment Development Department, which Newsom oversees, admitted that it had paid out as much as $31 billion in unemployment funds to scammers. Newsom’s spending plans for the state haven’t been much better. In 2019, he proposed expanding state-funded healthcare to illegal immigrants until the age of 26, costing taxpayers millions. This year’s budget included an astronomical $12 billion to house the homeless and $600 payments to individuals, regardless of immigration status. A neutral analyst of the policy’s impact called it “shortsighted and inadvisable.” On top of all that, Newsom has awarded no-bid contracts to various supporters of his campaign.

Worst of all have been Newsom’s COVID policies, which include the most draconian lockdowns in the entire country, none of which led to measurably better outcomes on case numbers or deaths. To add insult to injury, Newsom has been caught in multiple “do as I say, not as I do” moments, most infamously when the governor was spotted with lobbyists dining in one of Napa’s most exclusive restaurants, The French Laundry, while he was shutting down the rest of the state and urging Californians to remain at home. While Californians couldn’t send their children to school, Newsom’s kids received in-person instruction.

All of Newsom’s disastrous policies have amounted to the slow death of the so-called “California Dream.” Homeless tents litter city streets and public parks. The state has seen historic rises in crime. Thieves in places like San Francisco now openly rob stores in broad daylight. Deadly drugs like fentanyl are taking a record number of lives in places like San Diego. Law-abiding Californians in many cases can’t even escape the rampant crime in cities because of the nation’s highest housing costs. The cost of living has skyrocketed , meaning a middle-class lifestyle is increasingly falling out of reach for many Californians. Newsom has tried his best to blame anyone but himself for the condition of his state, but voters don’t appear to be buying it.

In short, Gavin Newsom represents everything that has gone wrong with California. And that’s why the odds he’ll be recalled on September 14 are as high as they’ve ever been.

 


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Ed J
10 months ago

On September 14, let’s hope we can sing to the tune of Sound of Music:
 
So long, goodbye, glad to see you go! Adios ex-Governor Gruesome!
 
And P.S., don’t let the door hit you in the a$$ on the way out.

JOHN
10 months ago

Newsome will win…. NOT because he has a majority ONLY because he will have a PLURALITY!
NAZI style politics of divide and conquer. In the 1930s and 1940s the NAZIs NEVER had a majority in ANY voting issue! BECAUSE voting did not matter! The NSDAP would DIVIDE any opposition into small ineffective blocks that could not have any kind of majority. They had a PLURALITY!
SOUND Familiar??????

Hal
10 months ago

Not only Californians, but voters in most other states, must realize that the DemocRats have managed over time to get an edge on the voting process (Cheating) in such a way that they can seemingly get majority support at the polls even when they don’t have it in reality. Pre-Eisenhower Presidency the DemocRats in Texas managed for decades to control voting to lock out Republican and other non-Democrat politcal contenders by clever application of cheating. They were so good at it that it was considered fair in DemocRat primaries for the winner in that primary was often the best cheater. For example, that is how LBJ won his first Senate seat in the ’30’s … he out cheated his opponent and everyone new it .. but that was the hallmark of DemocRat balloting … and still is to some degree nationwide.

Allan Terry
10 months ago
Reply to  Hal

Correct. The cheating issue explains why 99% of Democrat politicians favor abolishing the Electoral College and replacing it with a popular vote election for president. Adding 200,000 + fraudulent votes (or conveniently “losing” a similar number) among the millions of California’s ballots could easily change the election outcome.
Currently, all EC votes consistently go to the Democrat candidate (Clinton, Biden, etc.), while California total EC votes remain virtually unchanged.

Hal
10 months ago

Gruesome Newsom is about to lose ’em …. Hispanics! They are finally catching on to the truth that DemocRat politicos believe they own the Hispanic vote … much in the fashion that Hitler Nazis thought they owned the Jews.

Jeanette
10 months ago

I am totally praying we replace him with a good American governor who loves this country and this state. Had enough of the BS and troubles.

Hal
10 months ago
Reply to  Jeanette

If they replace Newsom with a DemocRat, any change would be superficial and temporary. That doesn’t mean they Republicans don’t have some faults politically, but they are not given to promote Communism.

aluminum head
10 months ago

Regarding the “mentality” of the CA voter – How does a blatant communist like gov. nuisance get elected anyway ? I left CA at the end of ’88 and am glad I was transferred. It USED to be a great place in years before. What happened ? Many things and the wrong things at that.

Jeanette
10 months ago
Reply to  aluminum head

I don’t know, but please don’t generalize. Many of us despise him, but can get rid of him. Blame Hollywood and illegal immigrants more than all Californians.

HocasPocas
10 months ago

Pelosi should be booted right behind him

Jeanette
10 months ago
Reply to  HocasPocas

TOTALLY!!! Another entrenched witch we can’t get rid of.

Ed J
10 months ago
Reply to  Jeanette

Add Maxi-Pad Waters and Schiff for Brains to the list.

par
10 months ago

He deserves it due to the California debacles

Max
10 months ago

Your statement is a reminder of another person that is currently serving in a higher office, creating the same HAVOC nationally.

Kenneth D.
10 months ago

When will California wake up and stop allowing airheaded Hollywood and hippie geezers to lead them further down the road to oblivion? The radical leftists have never, ever succeeded at anything other than oppression and equalization of misery for the useful idiots that follow them……

Bill
10 months ago

Hopefully cuomo goes too

Sheila
10 months ago
Reply to  Bill

The sooner, the better as I am getting sick and tired of him.

Hal
10 months ago
Reply to  Bill

Of course that is up to New York citizens. But it will be interesting but potentially alarming to see if the Cuomo DemocRats can ram him down the political throats of New Yorkers again … legally or not legally, The News media has a real challenge in promoting Cuomo with their partisan propaganda bias disguised as “news.”

Bill
10 months ago

Like other democrats states you get what you vote for.

HocasPocas
10 months ago
Reply to  Bill

I never voted for wolf. I bet a lot of dead people came out and voted

Mimi
10 months ago

I have lived in California since 1953, I was 3. My family moved here from Alabama. My father worked in construction and California was building. Several of our family members made the move as well. It was a beautiful welcoming state at that time. A wonderful place to grow up and grow. Wonderful neighborhoods and lovely neighbors. I no longer live in the Los Angeles area, in fact I’m afraid to go there anymore. Too much crime and homeless. It’s tolerated by the governing forces (ie Gruesom Newsom). Criminals being let out of prison long before sentencing is carried out. Many have left the state. So sad. My children and grandchildren are here so I won’t leave. But my heart is breaking for this once great state. I will be voting for Larry Elder, I just won’t give up hope!!

JohnH
10 months ago
Reply to  Mimi

Thanks for the well written response from a California resident. I hope that California can be turned around, but it has gone deep to radical & costly side the last few years. Just look at San Franciso response to shoplifting.

HocasPocas
10 months ago
Reply to  JohnH

Democrats allow it. Human nature is to try to get away with as much as you can. These people are thugs who are left to do whatever they please because they know that there is no consequences for any crime committed.

HocasPocas
10 months ago
Reply to  Mimi

I really think Larry Elder is a good man. CA may be able to improve immensely with him on your side

Hal
10 months ago

Gruesome Newsom knew some tricks … but his governance skills and actions were loathsome for the most part. Newsom new some tricks to get elected. Newsome and Pelosi … the California gruesome twosome of Californica DemocRat politics! And if you want to expand to a gruesome three some, throw in Camel Hairis! California has a lot of good people and citizens, but the DemocRats has communized state politics and many Californians are starting to wise up.

Garye
10 months ago

Newsome is a lying, useless, failed democrat!
Time to go!

HocasPocas
10 months ago
Reply to  Garye

Send pelosi and harris with him. If you do that, CA will be a much better place to live

aluminum head
10 months ago
Reply to  Garye

I’d consider moving back to Carmel / Monterey area if the state flipped totally red.

Hal
10 months ago
Reply to  Garye

Correction: PAST time to go … I hope Californians don’t miss the upcoming opportunity. His ego got in the way of his Communistic views.

Flatwoods
10 months ago

I too fear that the recall election will be rigged like it was in 2020. If this electoral corruption isn’t fixed soon, our democracy is for all practical purposes lost.

JohnH
10 months ago
Reply to  Flatwoods

My opinion, keep the Electoral College in place or you find that a handful of the most populous states will be controlling this country. Our founding fathers were very astute in wanting all states to have a say in Washington,DC

Sharon
10 months ago

Newscum has done nothing in this state for anyone but himself and illegals. OH, forgot…he let thousands of felons out of prison…..We pay the highest gas tax in all 50 states……our roads are full of pot holes like his head. Will be good to see someone in Sacramento that actually cares about the state and the people. And we need to pass a bill BALLOT HARVESTING ILLEGAL. That is how the POS got in office to begin with.

Hal
10 months ago
Reply to  Sharon

If there is not a Constitutional honest one-man(or woman) one-vote insurance in voting, an honest democratic (little “d”) result will not likely follow. Example: Last POTUS election of Joe HIdin’ Biden getting elected.

Hans
10 months ago

Being in California, never seen this problem where we have negative population and business growth. Fear is driving Newsom recall across entire population: People are scared of more lock-downs, business closures, vaccine mandates, power outages, free discharging water into oceans during drought, forests not maintained causing huge fires, billions going to worthless stuff California is buying, schools not open, government handing free space and tons of money to homeless, Just opening jails for no reason, even more heavy regulation, taxation to increase California’s governmental surplus and voting machine problem. These are incompetent leadership problems. We are tired of California Gov. strategy of dividing people and then blame one group, when it is the Gov. leaders fault. When digging your own grave, first rule is stop digging and thrive instead. People are pissed, the polls are not a good reflection of what is really one the ground. Bye Bye Newsom!

Hdrydr
10 months ago

The “election” is already rigged same as 2020. The communists have allowed mail-in voting in California for the “special election”. The usps will be over run with ballots from all over the U.S. I’m not a pessimist. I am a realist.

JohnH
10 months ago
Reply to  Hdrydr

Calling elections rigged are just a way to scare voters away from elections. You are just giving the other side your vote, if you do not vote.

Paul W
10 months ago

That’s great, but sadly, I don’t believe this election will be any more legitimate than 2020. I hope that I’m pleasantly surprised…but I’m not counting on it. Hope and pray for the best…but be prepared for another farcical election.

JohnH
10 months ago
Reply to  Paul W

I have yet to see proof that 2020 election was not legitimate & I will continue to vote in all elections. And I will proudly show a picture ID to vote.

B Walner
10 months ago
Reply to  JohnH

Anyone saying they have not seen proof of the election being stolen is 2020 is squeezing his eyes shut really hard. Go to Frank speech , Mike Lindells website and look at the proof. None so blind as those who will not see.

HocasPocas
10 months ago
Reply to  JohnH

Open your eyes and look around.

Shirley
10 months ago
Reply to  JohnH

Watch Michael Lindell’s Symposium on OAN news Aug 10,11,

Hal
10 months ago
Reply to  JohnH

I think you miss the point. Yes, your vote was done honestly and correctly. The problem is that many partisan biased votes were cast which overwhelmingly destroyed the concept of one-man one-vote as a Constitutional right, and allowed the DemocRat Party to “stuff the ballot box” in many different way to grossly dilute the value of all non-DemocRat votes. But showing a picture ID was NOT a requirement of voting in the last POTUS election (how can it be if mail out/in voting is allowed????? If you believe the last POTUS election was not rigged, you probably believe in Santa Claus, too! (just joking)

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