Election Coverage / Opinion / Politics

Prospects Abound for GOP Senate Pickups in 2022 Amid Possible Democrat Overreach

AMAC Exclusive

senateWritten By: Herald Boas

With the U.S. Senate currently divided 50-50 between the two major parties and Vice President Kamala Harris casting the tie-breaking vote, Republicans already have their eyes on next year’s elections–and many believe they are well on their way to retaking the U.S. Senate.

During the first few months of 2021, Democrats have set an ambitious but controversial agenda, including the highly partisan H.R. 1 election bill already passed in the U.S. House, a proposed $3.1 trillion infrastructure spending bill (only payable by even more new taxes), student loan forgiveness, mass amnesty and other divisive immigration policies, and many other programs that could be a bridge too far  for many voters, and even some in the Democrat base.

This kind of overreach, like the left-wing healthcare policies put forward by new Democratic administrations in 1993 and 2009, could easily preclude the party from winning any additional seats in 2022–and even more likely, it could endanger the party’s own vulnerable incumbents.

This is the first in a series of reports that will look ahead at the political terrain that will define the House, Senate, statehouse and governors’ elections coming up over the next two years. AMAC will be bringing you critical information and analysis on the candidates, races, and issues that will determine whether Republicans take back control of Congress or Democrats maintain their hold on power in Washington.

A total of 34 Senate races will be on the ballot in 2022, including 20 seats currently held by Republicans and 14 held by Democrats. Most incumbents running for re-election are likely to win, but conservative strategists have hopes to oust liberal senators in five contests that are likely to be competitive.

The two most vulnerable Democrats, Mark Kelly of Arizona and Raphael Warnock of Georgia, won narrow first-time special elections in normally Republican states in 2020 during a volatile presidential campaign. Both Kelly and Warnock have been supporting legislation that many voters in their states might find too radical. Former football star Herschel Walker, a leader in the African American community and a friend of former President Trump, is a top GOP prospect in Georgia. Arizona has several prominent potential candidates.

In recent election cycles, national midterm voting patterns in years following the election of a new president have been difficult for the party in power. New administrations have often struggled to establish their agenda — frequently in an environment of negative economic news. This was especially true for Presidents Clinton and Obama, respectively in 1994 and 2010, when their parties suffered major Congressional losses.

Although the economic mood is currently upbeat in response to hopes that the pandemic is ending, and the stock market is reaching new highs, many economists warn that the full impact of the past year is still unknown. Stock speculation might be overly optimistic. The latest $1.9 trillion stimulus legislation, now popular with Democrats, will require higher taxes which will dampen economic growth, and could lead to a recession by the summer of 2022.

Three other incumbent Democratic senators are potentially vulnerable next year, including Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada, Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire, and Michael Bennet of Colorado.

Senator Cortez Masto, a protege of Harry Reid, won narrowly in 2016, and has not been very visible so far in Nevada. The Mexican-U.S. border crisis could easily have a political impact in nearby states beyond Texas, including Nevada which has seen its huge hospitality industry hit hard by the pandemic. The state’s many union members could react negatively to an influx of low-wage economic migrant workers made possible by the Biden border policies.

Senator Hassan is another low profile first termer who could face a major challenge from GOP Governor Chris Sununu, scion of a household family name in New Hampshire politics. Former GOP Senator Kelly Ayotte could also run against Hassan, (who narrowly defeated her in 2016). New Hampshire, like Arizona, is a battleground state with current statewide elected Republicans.

Colorado has recently voted Democratic, but an economic downturn or Biden administration failures could endanger Senator Bennet’s re-election. Former GOP Senator Cory Gardner could be his opponent. Gardner lost in 2020 in a very bad year for Republicans in Colorado, but is a personable figure with an independent reputation who could make a comeback in a non-presidential election year, just as he was first elected in 2014.

A major factor in Republican Senate challenges, especially in their nominating process, will be the support or non-support of former President Donald Trump. Although he has made no decision about running himself in 2024, he has said he will remain active in the Republican Party, where he continues to have a large voter base, and plans to campaign for GOP Senate candidates in 2022. Exactly what role he chooses to play could be decisive in the months and years ahead.

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9 months ago

Will our votes count… just like they did in the last election?

9 months ago

Are only chance is if we play their game!!!

John Lyon
9 months ago

Fat chance. Free, honest elections are history.

Clark Kent
9 months ago
Reply to  John Lyon

AMEN! Finally someone ‘gets it’. A NATIONAL ELECTION was stolen. Rigging state elections are a walk in the park. Besides, free, honest elections are ‘racist’, don’t ‘cha know?

9 months ago
Reply to  John Lyon

As long as the American people continue to behave like docile sheep and just accept whatever the Democrats choose to do, then you are absolutely correct. When a people cease to stand up for their rights and freedoms against those that would take them away, then they quickly lose both. The vast majority of Americans have chosen to behave like sheep.

Bob L.
9 months ago

Pick up seats and gain control in Congress? Don’t count on it.

Last November’s election was more rigged than you can imagine.
Tonight at 8 PM Eastern on One America News Network will be a program that exposes just how BIG the rigging was and the system is still in place to do it again – nation wide. Last November’s election was a 100% Joe Stalin style election. “It is enough that the people know there was an election. The people who cast the ballots decide nothing, the people who count the votes decide everything.” But in our case, they even manipulated the votes too – from abroad, right down to precinct level.

8 PM Saturday April 3rd on OAN, watch “Scientific Proof”.

Clark Kent
9 months ago
Reply to  Bob L.

Yup, the fix is in. Forever.

Robert Belcastro
9 months ago

What matters most in any election is who is counting the ballots. Election laws need to require proper voter ID.

Clark Kent
9 months ago

But, but, but, voter ID is RACIST, don’t ‘cha know? Get with the times!

Charlotte A Mahin
9 months ago

The 2022 election will mean nothing unless our GOP members and our state governments clean up the voting process. The DC Communists are intimidating our states in order to stop them from making elections fair. It is black mail as we have seen in Georgia and it is frightening!!

Mark B
9 months ago

Agree 100%. MLB, Coke, Delta seem to be okay with the fact that out of, 20 counties counted in GA, the average vote was 108% of registered voters. Some counties had 18% more votes cast than they had registered voters.

9 months ago
Reply to  Mark B

Real numbers have never been the forte of the progressives. The swing states in the November election showed similar “anomalies in truth”, along the same lines as one dollar of welfare money being equal to several dollars in the community. It’s all made up, fantasy, lies and obfuscation. Truth no longer matters to them.

Clark Kent
9 months ago

But free and fair elections are RACIST! Quit providing reason into an emotional argument!

JD Keene
9 months ago

You forget, a conservative vote is worth about 75% vs a Democrat vote being 125%. The good old days of one person one vote are gone.

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