Election Coverage / Politics

Red Wave Rising?

AMAC Exclusive By: Herald Boas

wave

Two major crises now beset President Biden — the influx of illegal immigrants at the southern border and the takeover of Afghanistan by the Taliban following the botched evacuation. It is very early in the 2022 national mid-term election cycle, and predictions are therefore very speculative, but the crises and problems faced by the Biden administration are serious enough to begin thinking about a potential “red wave” election that returns the GOP to control of both chambers of Congress.

The border crisis is persistently downplayed by both the administration and the mainstream media, which has largely acted as a cheerleader for Biden since early in his campaign. The media, however, has turned on Mr. Biden for his handling of Afghanistan, which has become, by all accounts, a disaster characterized by many as a “betrayal.”

Photos and videos of chaos at the southern border showing the entry of illegal and unvaccinated immigrants during a new surge in the pandemic have driven Mr. Biden’s numbers down in the most credible polls.

On the pandemic, fewer than half of Americans now approve of his leadership. On Afghanistan, the President’s numbers are even worse. According to a CBS News poll, 74% of Americans believe the Afghanistan withdrawal has gone very badly or somewhat badly. The same poll found that less than 50% of Americans now believe Biden to be competent, focused, and effective. A separate poll from USA Today on August 24th found that only 26% of respondents approved of Biden’s handling of the situation in Afghanistan, driving his overall approval rating down to a record-low 41% after resting comfortably north of 50% just last week.

President Trump also favored ending our military involvement in Afghanistan, but he insisted on a conditions-based withdrawal in order to avoid the very situation the United States now finds itself in. While Biden has sought to blame previous presidents for starting or continuing the United States’ involvement in Afghanistan, ultimately the responsibility for leaving in an orderly manner fell to him.

Typically, local, state and regional issues often determine midterm election results, providing modest or mixed gains for the opposition party. If, on the other hand, the election is nationalized, the conditions exist for a wave vote and a landslide.

A nationalization of midterm elections occurred in 2010, primarily over the healthcare issue following the passage of Obamacare. As a result, Republicans flipped the House of Representatives and picked up six seats in the Senate. In 2002, the nationalization of the election after 9/11 helped Republicans gain seats in both chambers of Congress. It was the first time since 1934 that the party of a newly elected president achieved such gains in the first midterm election. In perhaps the best example of a nationalization of a midterm election, Newt Gingrich’s “Contract With America” in 1994 helped Republicans win control of the House of Representatives for the first in time in 40 years while adding to their majority in the Senate.

There are already some signs of the nationalization of next year’s midterm election. The domestic economy seems strong, with the stock market up and interest rates low — all usually positive political news for an administration. But clear signs of inflation, especially in food, gasoline and car prices, cast doubt on where the economy will be in the summer and autumn next year when voters make up their minds. Already, just 22% of Americans say the economy is good, and 55% say it is headed in the wrong direction. The risk to Mr. Biden is increased, conservative economists contend, by the Democrats raising taxes and massive deficit spending — a one-two punch that has so often knocked out a booming economy in the past.

Democrats are still considered favored to win Senate seats they already control in four southwestern states, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada. But Republican chances to flip one of those have increased. The border crisis is already a hot issue in Arizona.  And in Nevada, former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt recently announced his candidacy to replace incumbent Democrat Senator Catherine Cortez Masto. In his announcement video, Laxalt made clear he intends to nationalize his race, lambasting “the radical left, rich elites, woke corporations, academia, and the media” who are “taking over America.” Laxalt has also emphasized the issue of the border crisis that has seen refugees crowding into small towns and cities in many southwestern states, another issue that has galvanized Republicans nationally.

Republicans appear to be in good position to pick up Senate seats in Georgia and New Hampshire as well, and progressive Democratic policies of defunding the police, controversial educational theories, and packing the U.S. Supreme Court are endangering some other Democratic incumbents. In addition, such policies are also making it very difficult for Democrat candidates who are challenging potentially vulnerable GOP incumbents next year. A case in point is the Pennsylvania seat held by GOP Senator Pat Toomey, who is retiring. This open seat was considered a quite likely Democratic pick-up, but Biden’s anti-coal and anti-fracking energy policies have Democratic poll numbers sinking in western Pennsylvania, while defunding the police proposals are hurting liberal candidates in key Philadelphia suburbs.

Conservative prospects in the U.S. House are even better. While many pundits expect the GOP to win back control of the chamber next year, a wave election could produce a gain of 35-45 seats. Some Democrats, sensing an impending defeat, may already be cutting their losses. Ron Kind, a 13-term Democratic Congressman from Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District who is only 58 years old, recently announced his surprise retirement, which some have speculated is an effort to avoid defeat at the hands of a Republican next fall.

With 14 months until election day, no one can rule out Democrats surviving the usual midterm difficulties. But their current setbacks at the federal level are now also breaking out at the state level with the political problems of two of their most prominent governors. Andrew Cuomo has already resigned in disgrace in New York, and Gavin Newsom faces a looming recall vote in California. Should he lose that recall vote and should he be replaced by a conservative Republican, the demoralization of the Democratic Party in 2022 would be profound.

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BAE
1 month ago

The democrats will insist on a mail in election, so they have lots of time to corrupt the voting. Many false voting ballots for the Dems. They do NOT care about the tax payer.

Mario Capparuccini
1 month ago

Encouraging news indeed. But, the Democrats already stole one election. I am concerned that the 2022 elections will be stolen as well.

HocasPocas
1 month ago

Question, when does any of these treasonous workings of this administration ever going to be a problem for biden or any of those evil people? The only people I see as getting any problem out of this disaster is the citizens of this nation. This administration doesn’t give a hoot about what is to come. If anything, to them the disaster cannot come quick enough.

Marc Ziegler
1 month ago

Democrat’s always seem to be on the wrong side of every issue, from the open boarder to the lack of morals and now no foreign policy with this debacle in Afghanistan. How the Dem’s stay in power amazes me, now with a fool in the White House and the Speaker a blooming idiot, I can only say, God help America!! 2022 and 2024 cannot come to soon. MZ

Earl P Chantrill
1 month ago

Republicans are better in Congress than Democrats regardless of how RINO they may be. Because RINOS will still vote appropriately most of the time, whereas Demos will rarely vote appropriately. In a perfect world, I would not vote for Mitt Romney, the junior senator in our state, and I plan to vote for the best Republican who primaries him. But if he wins the nomination again, I would certainly vote for him rather than his Democrat opponent.

gi2468
1 month ago

Better concentrate on electing true conservative republicans instead of just anyone with an “R” behind their name. We have enough good for nothing RINO’s in congress already because people voted for the lesser of two evils. Evil is still evil regardless of their political party. There are already too many turn coat republicans now, we don’t need anymore of them working hand in hand with the democrats.

HocasPocas
1 month ago
Reply to  gi2468

So are you saying, if there are no good candidates on the ballot, don’t vote for anyone, that way the worst one is sure to get in. Makes sense if you don’t care which democrat gets elected

gi2468
1 month ago
Reply to  HocasPocas

I’m saying if we continue to vote for RINO’s, we will get the same results we have been getting for decades, the result that we have in congress right now. How many republicans in congress are standing up for what conservatives put them in office to do? The answer is a small handful. Most are career politicians who vote with the democrats 99% of the time. If that is what you want in the future, then by all means just vote for anybody with the R behind their name & we will lose this country at the hand of the democrats with the help of the RINO’s. Do not forget that when President Trump took office we held the house & the senate & do you remember how many turn coat republicans hated him & did everything they could to stop his agenda to make America great again? Very few stood by his side, so you keep right on voting for the RINO’s & we all know how this is going to end.

dgl
1 month ago

So what? 80% of the republicans are just as worthless and untrustworthy as the democrats. I can think of possibly 15 republicans in Congress I’d trust as far as I could pee into a stiff wind when it comes to Constitutional issues, and my current congress-critter isn’t one of them…………………

gi2468
1 month ago
Reply to  dgl

You are so right, but it’s like talking to the wall. If republicans continue to vote for these RINO rats with the idea that they are any better than the democrats, then nothing will change except to continue this path to destruction for America aided by the worthless, spineless clowns that call themselves republican. They sold out their party & their constituents long ago. Time for new blood.

Dave
1 month ago

Fingers crossed….Keep calling out Dem damage and hypocrisy

red green
1 month ago

When the people allow the government to break the law for an emergency. the government will “always” create an emergency to break the law!

Hal
1 month ago
Reply to  red green

Your comment is tn the running for “”truer words were never spoken!” Spot on! And politicos in both party’s tend to that process, with the DemoncRats being by far the worst! You have, IMO, described the present and recent past response by government and public related entities to the Corona Virus. Politicos love a crisis as long as its inception is not tied to them. It allows them to act contrary to Constitutional law until the Courts and Lawyers can hash it out over time or it fades away.

Stephen Lykins
1 month ago

With the combination of the Afghanistan withdrawal fiasco, Taliban resurgence and virtually non existent security at the southern border, I would be very much surprised if Taliban funded terrorists are not already making their way to the border.

HocasPocas
1 month ago
Reply to  Stephen Lykins

You won’t hear about that until they already infiltrated our country and are embedded into our society to wreak their havoc. Then and only then will it be a concern that is worthy of discussing by any of these media organizations. Then it will be caused by our President Trump, so obiden and company can keep on destroying the country

Dave Smith
1 month ago

I’d rather wash down a covid burger and SARS fries with an Ebola shake than vote democrat. They are a diseased entity worse than any virus. They actually swear an oath to support and uphold the Constitution yet daily prove they have no concept of their duty to Americans. They are about power at any and all costs and are destroying our country from the inside due to the proven fact their socialist-communist friends can’t do it from the outside. Americans can no longer afford to believe our laws will work and protect us from the onslaught of liberal democrat destruction and and lies.

Hal
1 month ago
Reply to  Dave Smith

You are too kind in your comments about the DemocRat Parrty!!!

Dave
1 month ago
Reply to  Dave Smith

“I did not leave the Democrat Party. The Democrat Party left me.”

I thought that was a great dodge when I first heard it. Now, it’s my story. Sick, sad, self-serving people, the former Party of “the working man”.

Ron Howard
1 month ago
Reply to  Dave

Dave, the Democrat Party was NEVER the party of “the working man”, it was called that because unions were initially formed to help workers who were abused by big business. But then Mafia control destroyed the unions, but Democrats still claimed to be the party of the workingman because the corrupt unions were still Democrat.

HocasPocas
1 month ago
Reply to  Dave

Always the welfare party

Becky
1 month ago

I am amazed at the journalists and pundits who continue to discuss topics like this as if America is still ‘America’.
So what???
For the last 40+ years the GOP has done absolutely nothing to benefit America. Everything they do is to benefit themselves. There is ZERO reason to put the GOP back in control.
A Conservative? Yes..
A republican? No.

Dave
1 month ago
Reply to  Becky

I wish Trump had tried to launch his own version of the “Bull Moose Party”.

I am a Christian libertarian at heart, but I have to go straight (R) like a dolt this time. A message needs to be sent.

dgl
1 month ago
Reply to  Becky

You are spot on. See my post above.

gi2468
1 month ago
Reply to  Becky

Agree 100% & yet there are still so many that are content to continue to vote for anyone with an R behind their name because as they say “anyone is better than a democrat”. If we continue to do this, nothing will change, the RINO’s will continue to vote with the democrats & unfortunately, we will get exactly what we deserve.

tony
1 month ago

I’M A DISABLED VIETNAM VETERAN.I SERVED THREE TOURS IN VIETNAM. TOOK A OATH FOR GOD AND COUNTRY.NOT THESE SOCIALIST, COMMUNIST DEMOCRATS. I WAS A DEMOCRAT FOR A LONG TIME, NOT ANYMORE. WE HAS A POEPLE NEED TO STAND UP FOR GOD AND COUNTRY. OUR LIBERTY IS AT STAKE,FREEDOM OF CHOICE, FREEDOM OF LIFE, LIBERTY,AND TO WORSHIP GOD. OUR MORALS ARE GONE AND WE NEED TO GET CORRECTED ON WHAT THE TEN COMMANDMENT TEACH US. OUR MEN AND WOMEN NEED TO GET BACK INTO THE BIBLE AND THE INSPIRED WORDS OF GOD. GOD DIED ON THE CROSS FOR ALL MANKIND. REGUARDLESS OF COLER AND RACE. GOD LOVES US ALL. THEIR IS A WAR BETWEEN GOOD AND EVIL. GOD DOES NOT CAUSE BAD THINGS TO HAPPEN. WE HAVE CHOICE, WE CAN CHOOSE GOD AND HIS WORD( BIBLE) OR LUCIFER OR SATANAND HIS SATANIC WAYS.IT’S OUR CHOICE. GOD IS A LOVEING GOD. SATAN HAS LOST AND WANTS TO TAKE HAS MANY CAN. READ MATTHEW CHAPTURE 24. DANIEL AND REVELATION WILL OPEN YOUR EYES. WE HAS A COUNTRY NEED TO PRAY AND GET ON OURS NEEDS TO GET RIGHT.THE MEN WHO WROT THE USA CONSTITUTION WERE NOT PERFIT BUT THEY WERE MEN OF GOD, WORKING TO BE FREE FROM TYRANNY AND OPPRESSION. WHY DO YOU THINK SO MANY PEOPLE WANT TO COME TO AMERICA. WE MUST FIGHT FOR OUR FREEDOMS. IT’S OUR CHOICE. DON”T LET SATAN AND SATANIC WAYS CONTROL US. GOD BLESS YOU ALL

Karen
1 month ago
Reply to  tony

God bless you Tony and thank you for your service. Pray that the Dems (commies) fall hard.
Wish you the best.

Chuck
1 month ago

Like it or not, the Republican Party is the McConnell/Romney Wimp Party. President Trump must be supported to primary these wimps out.

Mandy
1 month ago

This is no thanks to the Republican party but because voters are disgusted by Biden’s obvious ineptness as president and Commie Harris is no better. As usual, the GOP just twiddles their thumbs and wait for election wins to fall in their lap.

Dave
1 month ago
Reply to  Mandy

Well, as long as the Demaggots keep screwing up, maybe they need the spotlight alone? The ‘Pubs are kind of screwed, procedurally.

Becky
1 month ago
Reply to  Mandy

I agree. I don’t think we wait for the election, there might not be a country left.

Karen
1 month ago

I would love it if the Reps did win in 2022, however, Biden is letting all these aliens in so they can vote the Dems in again, even if it is illegal for them to do so. But, somehow the Dems are never called for all the garbage they pull. I don’t know what to think at this point. Can only pray!

Hal
1 month ago

I regard it as a potential Anti-DemocRat Tidal Wave. But the Red Tide is well documented to poison everything in its path, so that does have an approriate characteristic with the DemoCrat politicians.

Hal
1 month ago
Reply to  Hal

I regard it as a potential Anti-DemocRat Tidal Wave. But the Red Tide is well documented to poison everything in its path so that does have an appropriate characteristic with wiping out DemoCrat politicians

Al Wunsch
1 month ago

It’s either a red wave for republicans or we’re on a wave toward a red country – the progressives utopia otherwise seen as countries like Communist China, Russia, Cuba, Venezuela et al. But it won’t be easy as many of our younger voters are brainwashed by the public school syistem and are part of the “Woke” network

J. Kujawa
1 month ago

A red tidal wave would be the only thing that saves this country from total destruction at the hands of the dummocrats. I think all the dummocrats should have to undergo drug testing instead of covid testing on a daily basis. No sane person can say or do the awful things that they have in 8 months.

Hal
1 month ago
Reply to  J. Kujawa

I understand your valid great level of concern … I share that with you. But you can’t be presumed to be a drug addict just because you are stupid and/or self-centered enough to lose all sense of reasoning in politics that directly affect the health and validity of Constitutional Democratic governance. You can even politically favor and push for a change to Communistic governance and/or use the NAME “Democrats” even though it is a full misnomer in our contemporary political system. Remember … the Republican Conservatives want to GOVERN the Nation, but the Democrat Commies want to RULE the Nation.

Jerry
1 month ago

He has a 41% approval? Who are these dumbA$$es that approve of this imbecile?

Hal
1 month ago
Reply to  Jerry

Remember the Commie DemocRats still have major influence on the stats related to approval, so the 41% is probability at least 10 or 15 points higher towards truthful. Remember, If the DemocRats could rig the last POTUS election and coerce the cooperation of the news media to elect Joe Hidin’ Biden, then it is a lot easier to rig popularity polls.

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